Anil Dua quits Hero MotoCorp

Anil Dua has quit as Hero MotoCorp's head of sales and marketing. He is likely to take up an assignment abroad. Mr Dua had joined the company (it was called Hero Honda then) in September 2006 from Hindustan Unilever. That was the month Bajaj Auto came within inches of dislodging the Munjal flagship from the top of the motorcycle market. There was panic in the company. If it was overtaken by Bajaj Auto, its brand equity would suffer serious erosion. The Munjals, to their credit, decided the time had come to focus on market share instead of profits or else there would, one day, be no profits to protect. Amongst the first things they did was get Mr Dua on board.

And that is when the company developed marketing savvy. At that time, it was the convention to split the motorcycle market into three segments: entry level (100 cc engine capacity), executive (125-135 cc) and premium (150 cc). Mr Dua's research showed that buyers looked not at the engine capacity but at the holistic experience - the imagery associated with the motorcycle. Motorcycles with the same engine capacity could talk to different customers. Also, the three segments weren't watertight: consumers moved easily between them. Hero then decided to look at the market from the consumer's point of view: how he brackets the motorcycles in the market. Focus shifted from the overall brand to individual motorcycles. Out went the Hero punch line of "Fill it, shut it, forget it" and in came new ones like "Always game" (for the Karizma) and "Thinking is such a waste of time" (CBZ Extreme).

Consumer research, of the kind that is carried out in the fast-moving consumer goods industry, started being done at Hero. Specialists were hired to talk to thousands of customers every month to gauge brand health. Backed with the knowledge that the target customers (aged between 18 and 35) relate to cricket, music, movies and adventure, a new communication strategy was adopted. Hero roped in film stars Hrithik Roshan and Priyanka Chopra as brand ambassadors, joined the Indian Premier League bandwagon and got associated with TV programmes like MTV Roadies.

In mid-2007, consumer finance companies began to pull the plug on two-wheelers, due to the sharp rise in bad loans. They overnight withdrew their representatives from motorcycle showrooms. As almost 70 per cent of all motorcycle purchases were on monthly instalments, this hit the industry hard. But Hero sales were flat. This brought home the realisation that it had a strong customer base in villages, where people do not buy motorcycles on instalments. Hero could leverage its strong brand equity in the rural markets to sell more. Thus, in 2007, the company set up its rural sales vertical under Mr Dua. Five hundred salesmen were co-opted for the initiative. They were given work targets and not sales targets: they had to fan out into villages and talk to decision-makers. Their waves were launched each harvest - when farmers have money in their pockets. Today, the rural market contributes almost half of the company's sales.

Hero was thus able to stave off the challenge from Bajaj Auto. In fact, the challenger corrected course and decided to focus on profits and not market share. (Today, Bajaj Auto is the country's most profitable two-wheeler company.)

This greatly boosted the confidence of the Munjals. It came in handy in 2011 when Honda decided to end the partnership with them. They had to decide fast. The Munjals formed a team of three - of which Mr Dua was a part - to assess if life was possible without Honda. This team couldn't have done open research, because that would have spilled the beans on Honda's departure. It, therefore, had to rely on gut feel. It noted that Honda had launched motorcycles on its own in 2006 and yet had a market share of only 7 per cent, while Hero scooters, which were also launched in 2006, had grabbed a share of 17 per cent (Honda was, and still remains, the undisputed leader in scooters). It was, therefore, decided to stay put in the market. Technology was equal for all and Hero could deliver everything the Indian buyers were looking for: low price tags, high fuel economy, inexpensive spares and good resale value.

The Munjals had the option to use the Hero Honda brand till June 2014, but they decided to replace it as early as possible. As it involved renewal, the project was codenamed Yajna. Wolff Ollins, an Omnicom company, was engaged to give the company a new identity. It came out with the name Hero MotoCorp. It was international sounding and did not confine the image to just two-wheelers. Law & Kenneth was hired to craft the new communication strategy. It came up with the line, Hum main hai Hero (There is a Hero in us). Lyricist Irshad Kamil expanded it into an anthem; A R Rehman set it to music; and Anurag Kashyap made it into a film. To unveil the new identity, the Munjals chose London because it is a blend of tradition and modernity. The dealers who were flown to London for the purpose came back impressed.

Hero (it still operates from a cramped commercial complex in south Delhi because the Munjals are superstitious about it, though the shareholders like the fact that money hasn't been spent on a fancy office) is still the market leader with a 41.3 per cent share of the market in 2013-14. Its biggest challenger is Honda (24 per cent). It is gaining market share at a fast clip. Hero will have to use all the marketing muscle it has gained in the last eight years for this fight

Advertisers see jump in reach and rating in IPL.

The number of advertisers with the Indian Premier League (IPL) might have dropped to 60-70 from last year's count of 100, but that does not set off alarm bells for media planners. They put it down to the fewer matches this year, as well as the change in the venue due to elections.

Rohit Gupta, president, MSM, whose channels aired the finale on June 1, says, "The IPL is a property much like the English Premier League or the NBA. It is not going anywhere, and will continue grow. What you see at IPL is the best of T20 cricket. Which is why, despite the controversies every year, IPL continues unscathed."

According to Gupta, after the first 51 matches, IPL reached 183 million viewers this year, versus 176 million viewers last year. Sony is understood to have earned ad revenues of Rs 850 crore, equal to its last year's earnings. But that does not vindicate the naysayers as the ad inventory was lower this year: Sixty matches versus 76 last year.

Not only did e-commerce players spend Rs 100 crore on the IPL, there were new sponsors too. Gupta says, "Marico, Perfetti and TVS joined us."

R S Sodhi, MD, Gujarat Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation, the owner of Amul, says, "IPL is a property that is watched by so many people across age-groups that an advertiser cannot ignore it." After initial hiccups following the venue-change and legal hurdles, Amul has advertised on IPL this year. Manish Sharma, MD, Panasonic India, says, "This time we advertised air conditioners and smartphones and got a good response. It was a wise
decision to have spent on IPL despite not being sponsors this year. For the last three years, we sponsored Delhi Daredevils, which gave us visibility on air, ground, in-stadia. The quality of the matches were good this year."

IPL's ad rates in 2014 were almost 10-12 per cent higher than last year's, with nothing less than Rs 4.75 lakh per 10 seconds. This is the average rate during the entire tournament.

A Vijay Narayanan, vice-president, marketing, Havells India, says, "Consistent ratings across 60 days is the reason why we have been associated with IPL (as a sponsor) for the last seven seasons. No other programme offers this consistency. Havells launched 14 new ads during the IPL season (over the years), including the recent 'Respect for Women', Hawa Badlegi and Shock Laga earlier. Ratings and reach have seen a 3-4 per cent jump this year, which is incredible given that the first 20 matches were held outside India, and there were elections and legal tangles."

A PepsiCo India spokesperson says, "It is a key platform in the middle of the season that allows us to explode our marketing calendar, activate consumer promotions and initiate on-ground activities."

Triumph eyes three-fold jump in sales in two years.

British cult bike maker Triumph is aiming for three-fold increase in its sales in India targeting to sell around 2,700 units in two years.

The company, which launched operations in India last year, has sold 450 units and expects to touch the 500 mark by the end of this month.

"We expect to sell a total of around 1,200 units in 2014 -15 and looking to retail 1,500 units in 2015-16," Triumph Motorcycles India Managing Director Vimal Sumbly told reporters here.

The company, which today opened its first dealership here in North India, aims to take the number of outlets to around 12 by March 2016.

"This (Delhi) is our seventh outlet in the country. We will close the year at 9 dealerships. By 2016 we are looking to have 12 outlets," Sumbly said.

The next dealerships would come up at Chennai and Kolkata respectively, he added.

The prices of the company's 11 models in Delhi will range from Rs 5.68 lakh to Rs 20.08 lakh (ex-showroom).

The company, which is present in India through a wholly- owned subsidiary, had expanded its product portfolio with the launch of 'Daytona 675' during Auto Expo in February, taking the total number of models launched in India to 11.

Last November, the company had entered the Indian market with the launch of ten models.

Triumph assembles the Bonneville T100, Daytona 675R, Street Triple, Speed Triple and Thruxton in India at its facility in Manesar.

The rest of the bikes, Rocket III Roadster, Tiger Explorer, Tiger 800 XC and Thunderbird Storm are imported into the country as completely built units (CBUs).

Triumph is the largest British motorcycle manufacturer and has more than 740 dealers across the world.

Hero Moto's savings may 'Leap' to Rs.1k cr this fiscal.

Margin transformation programme & end to Honda payments to boost co's coffers Co has completed a pre-production run at Neemrana plant and expects the plant to be fully operational by the end of June
Hero MotoCorp looks poised to save close to 1,000 crore in the financial year 2015 with its ongoing margin transformation programme yielding desired results, and the ammortised payments to former partner Honda coming to an end in June.

Pawan Munjal-led Hero is aiming to more than double its savings to over ` . 300 crore in fiscal 2014-15 from the previous financial year as part of its margin transformation drive 'Leap', started a few years ago. “We accrued more than ` . 150 crore in the financial year 2013-14, which is going to increase progressively. We have already come to a stage where, effective April 1, 2014, the monthly accrual was ` . 25 crore. So, all other factors, such as volatility in commodity market and the currency fluctuation remaining constant, we expect over ` . 75 crore to be added to the bottom line per quarter in FY15,“ Ravi Sud, senior vice-president & chief financial officer at Hero, told ET.

“And it will keep growing as we go on implementing the ideas at different points of time. The exit run rate for FY2015 could be anything between ` . 50 and ` . 60 crore. It's too early to say, but we are working on it,“ he added.

So, even by a back-of-the-envelope calculation, it means a straight savings of ` . 300 crore for the company in FY15.

Taking April 2013 as the base, Hero MotoCorp had launched the 'Leap' programme in May 2013 with a view to transforming its margins over a four-year period. The programme looks at a wide gamut of areas, including pricing and feature optimization, raw materials consolidation, outbound logistics, operational excellence and marketing expenditure, e-sourcing and product design.

In addition, Hero stands to gain big with the last of the 14 installments of the amortized payments to erstwhile partner Honda coming to an end in June.

“The one-time lumpsum payment of 45 billion Japanese yen to Honda was amortised into 14 quarters, and the last installment will be paid in June. While it may not have any impact on the EBIDTA of the company, it will still positively impact our EPS (earnings per share). And the positive impact on PAT for the period July 2014 to March 2015 will be around . 440 crore net of tax,“ Sud said.
` The actual impact of this, therefore, is . 600 crore in savings. So, this likely to be ` along with the 'Leap' benefit put together, will accrue in total savings of close to . 1,000 crore for Hero ` MotoCorp in FY15. MotoCorp in FY15.

The company is also moving rapidly to scale up its capacity from its current 6.9 million units to close to 9 mil lion per year. “We have already completed a pre-production run last week at Neemrana and plan to start trial pro duction this month, and expect the plant to be al by the end of June. As far fully operational by the end of June. As far as the fifth plant (at Halol in Gujarat) is concerned, we have started building a boundary wall and our expectation is it will take 12 months for the plant to be ready . I would say by the end of the second quarter (September 2015), the Gujarat plant will also be operational,“ Sud added.

Neemrana will commence production with a capacity of 750,000 units while the plant at Halol in Gujarat will have an installed capacity of 1.2-1.5 million units of two-wheelers.

Hero on Monday reported 8% growth in sales in May and its highest-ever non-festive monthly sales of 6,02,481 units. Hero MotoCorp's shares closed at an all-time high of ` . 40.7.

Jupiter expands TVS' orbit in scooters.

In September, 2013, when TVS Motor Chairman and Managing Director Venu Srinivasan launched the company's new scooter, Jupiter, he had said that just as the name suggests, it would be the biggest scooter in terms of performance. The company, atleast, has had a smooth ride on the Jupiter.

TVS' market share in two-wheelers, which was around 21 per cent in 2010-11 had gone down further to 12.3 per cent in 2012-13. But analysts say that TVS has gained 1 per cent by dint of sales of the scooter.

In 2013-14, the total scooter market stood at 3.6 million units. The market leader continues to be Honda (52.8 per cent), followed by Hero (19.2 per cent) and TVS Motor (13 per cent). It was in 2011-12 that TVS lost the second place to Hero.

Yaresh Kothari, automobile analyst at Angel Broking, says scooter sales reported a growth of around 20 per cent. The segment contributes around 24 per cent to the overall two-wheeler sales.

In 2013-14, TVS' motorcycle sales increased to 786,000 units, from 756,000 units a year ago. Scooter sales in the same period increased from 446,000 units to 474,000 units.

K N Radhakrishnan, president and CEO,TVS Motor, says, "Jupiter is doing well and the company had sold around 100,000 scooters since its launch in September."
Between Jupiter and Wego, the company had initially planned a capacity of 25,000 units a month, which was revised to 45,000 units a month. The overall capacity of the company is around 2.8-3 million two-wheelers. Experts point out that the higher  capacity utilisation was a result of the launch of Jupiter.

The company would also be increasing its manufacturing of scooters to 75,000 units a month, with the launch of the new Scooty Zest, says Srinivasan. The Scooty Zest is expected to be launched in the first quarter of 2015 and a refreshed version of the Wego in the second half of 2015.

Kothari says Jupiter's launch was important for TVS, considering it was losing out to Hero and Honda, and especially Hero, which has the Maestro and Pleasure that have done well.

TVS' scooter volumes recorded a growth of around 60 per cent in May, 2014, according to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers.

"We expect the company to continue reporting improvement in its performance going ahead, given that its new scooter launch, Jupiter, has been accepted well by the markets.  The new Scooty will help it to continue the growth momentum, though it may not increase the market share substantially," says Kothari.

"The key aspects are building the brand and positioning the product," says Kothari, noting that while Jupiter and Maestro have been positioned as rides for men, Honda's Activa is yet to be differentiated on such lines. But that has not dented Activa's appeal, and it recently pipped Hero's Splendor motorcycle as the highest-selling two-wheeler.

Apart from Hero and Honda, Suzuki and Yamaha too are expected to step up the pressure on TVS.

Recently, Suzuki strengthened its scooter portfolio by launching the 110-cc Lets. Ichiro Kondo, president, sales and marketing operation, Suzuki Motorcycle India, has set a target to capture 10 per cent market share in scooters. He says that while TVS is an established player with the edge of a local brand, Suzuki's USPs are technology and comfort. Kondo has also indicated that it would step up brand-building.

TVS, then, is gearing up to spend more on advertising. Today, TVS spends around 5 per cent of its turnover on advertising, as compared to Hero's 2.2 per cent and 1.4 per cent of Bajaj (albeit on much larger revenues), say analysts. They say that quantum-wise, TVS' spends would either be at par or slightly lower. For instance, while TVS had spent around Rs 460 crore on brand building, Hero spent around Rs 470 crore.

TVS has incurred a standalone capital expenditure of Rs 250 crore in 2013-2014 towards capacity expansion, new product launches and R&D spends and plans to invest a similar sum in the current fiscal.

Analysts expect the new launches, coupled with the success of the Jupiter, will enable TVS to register a volume growth of 8 per cent over 2014-2016

Hope on new Govt revs up auto sales in May

Most automakers reported better domestic sales in May on an annualised basis, led by positive customer sentiments, especially towards the end of the month, after the formation of a new Government at the Centre.

Two-wheeler companies continued the growth trend, with market leader Hero MotoCorp reporting May as its highest-ever sales month for any non-festival period.
Passenger cars

In the passenger cars segment, market leader Maruti Suzuki India, Hyundai Motor India and Honda Cars India reported more than 10 per cent rise in sales compared with the year-ago period.

While Maruti Suzuki sold 90,560 units in May against 77,821 units a year earlier, Hyundai sold 36,205 units against 32,102 units in May last year. Honda’s sales grew 18 per cent to 13,362 units in May against 11,342 units in the year-ago month. New launches such as Xcent (Hyundai) compact sedan and the diesel variant of Honda City helped these companies improve sales.
Ford India

Ford India’s sales grew 51 per cent to 6,053 units in the domestic market compared with 4,002 units last year.

Toyota Kirloskar Motor (TKM) saw its first positive month this calendar year, backed by normalcy in its production and two new launches — Etios Cross and the all new Altis—last month.

The company sold 13,230 units in May (12,502 units a year ago), registering a growth of 6 per cent.

“We have received a good response for the new launches. We started dispatching the new models in May and have registered sales of 555 units and 548 units of Etios Cross and Corolla Altis, respectively,” said N Raja, Director and Senior Vice-President, Sales and Marketing, TKM.

However, General Motors India and two home-grown companies – Tata Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra – continued to see fall in sales.

While GM’s sales declined 43 per cent, Tata and Mahindra saw 17 per cent and 19 per cent drop in sales, respectively.

Commercial vehicles sales of Tata and Mahindra were also in the negative spot.
Two-wheelers

In the two-wheeler segment, while Hero MotoCorp sold 6.02 lakh units last month (5.58 lakh in May 2013), Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India sold around 3.56 lakh units (2.29 lakh units).

Pulsar maker Bajaj Auto’s sales rose 3 per cent to 3.13 lakh units in May (3.04 lakh units). Similarly, TVS Motor, Suzuki Motorcycle India, and Yamaha Motor India saw growth in sales 

TVS eyes bigger pie

Two-wheeler manufacturer, TVS Motor Co Ltd today expressed the hope that double digit growth in two-wheelers would continue at least for another 3-4 months.

"In the last few months two-wheeler segment was growing at double digit and the trend will continue at least for another 3-4 months," TVS vice-president, sales J S Srinivasan said here.

Most auto companies had registered sharp growth in sales in May. Replicating the trend TVS also registered 27 per cent jump in sales over the corresponding month last year.

Srinivasan said the company was trying to increase market share in commuter or economy segment motorcycles from six per cent to double digit.

"Our market share in premium motorcycles and scooters is 13-14 per cent so we have immense scope to increase our share in the commuter segment of two wheelers." he said.

The company was aiming high with its new Star City plus that would replace the existing Star City model.

Star City and Sport, were in the commuter segment (up to 110cc).

"We are aiming to increase our sales to 45000 from 33,000 units per month in the next few months," Srinivsan said.

"We want to promote these two models and not propose any more models in this segment at least for the next two years," Srinivisan said.

TVS, claimed it commanded a market share of 13 per cent in the two-wheeler category in the country.

Harley Davidson rides on the fast lane with India-built bike.

Iconic cult bike maker Harley-Davidson has hit the sweet spot with its model 'Street 750', that is built in India, accounting for nearly 60 per cent of its April sales in the country within the first month of starting deliveries.

The company, which is present in India through a wholly-owned subsidiary Harley-Davidson India, had launched the Street 750 priced at Rs 4.1 lakh in February and opened for bookings in March.

According to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) data, the model clocked sales of 210 units in April this year out of total 361 bikes sold by the company last month.

Harley-Davidson India had sold 146 units in the same month last year. At present the company sells 13 models, including the Street 750, which is its most affordable model in India and is built at Bawal plant in Haryana, with price ranging from Rs 4.1 lakh to Rs 29 lakh. The company produced a total of 506 units of the Street 750 last month.
As per SIAM data, the company sold a total of 126 bikes in the country in March, which is without the Street 750 model.
Last year the company had announced that it would start full-scale 'building' of motorcycles in India from where it will also start exporting to Europe and South East Asian market.

Harley-Davidson Motor Co President and COO Matthew Levatich, however, had stressed that the local 'building' of bikes in India would be restricted only to the Street 750 and Street 500 models. He had also stated that local fabrication of fuel tanks and fenders would also commence in India with the two models, scaling up the company's production operations to almost full scale manufacturing from the earlier assemble operations.

Since early 2011, Harley-Davidson has been assembling motorcycles in India at its completely-knocked-down assembly unit at Bawal catering only to the market here.

Now, scooters rule sales & roads.

They are light, stylish, unisex, multiple usage, and they bucked the slowdown. The ever-so-convenient scooters are now the darling of the two-wheeler industry. And, increasingly, they are replacing motorcycles on urban roads.

The scooter success story in India has seen some hairpin bends going from nearly 50% of the market in 1996 to just 12% around 10 years later. Now, less than a decade on, scooters comprise 28% of the two-wheeler market and every manufacturer in the fray is looking for niches to plug with their scooter launches. Auto industry experts say the city-hinterland divide between scooters and motorcycles is one of the reasons for their growth difference. The motorcycle's dominance over all roads, urban and rural, is clearly over.

TVS Motor chairman Venu Srinivasan said: "We have already started to see big cities favouring the scooter. While motorcycles will continue to grow, it will become a bigger semi-urban mode of transport." The scooter's popularity in bigger cities and in states like Maharashtra, Gujarat and Karnataka has to do with product USP and appeal. A multiple usage product, it is favoured by both men and women and it is in states that have a larger percentage of working women, better roads and higher social indices that scooters ers typically do well.

Y S Guleria, V-P-sales and marketing, Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India (HMSI), said, "Scooters depend on markets with better literacy, awareness and infrastructure. That's why it's a predominantly urban product but in the future, the contribution of rural markets will improve and we are looking at the scooter's urban skew as potential to improve rural contribution."

Guleria should know. HMSI, with nearly 2 million units in sales in FY14, is the clear leader in the scooter market. Its Activa is the second largest selling product in the two-wheeler mart, higher than Hero's long-standing best-seller Passion and second to its stablemate Splendor. Currently, 53% of HMSI's sales are scooters while 47% comes from motorcycles. Part of the urban skew in scooter has to do with the way its demand curve revived when HMSI introduced the Activa.

"We began with just 50-60 dealers and they were naturally focused on urban markets," said Guleria. "But now we have 800 dealers we are pushing forward into tier-2, tier-3 cities as well as rural markets. As accessibility improves, so will brand visibility and demand from rural markets."

Of course, it will take some time for rural India to come up with the kind of numbers that scooters now tot up in cities. "At present, scooters are 75-80% urban and 25-20% rural sales," said Atul Gupta, V-P-sales and marketing, Suzuki Motorcycle India. "The success of scooters is now a 10-year-old phenomenon so the penetration levels are slowly moving into semi urban and rural markets as well." Suzuki launched its 110 cc scooter Let's earlier this week - among a clutch of launches planned by nearly every two-wheeler manufacturer in the segment. "The scooter market saw 12-13% growth last fiscal but this year it will slow down a bit to around 7-8%. "We are looking to sell around 10,000 units of the Let's per month to start with," said Gupta. "Currently 70% of our total sales are scooters and 30% motorcycles."

Part of the allure of the scooter, say industry experts, is that it is a multiple or co-usage product. Both women and men in the family can share the vehicle and it is lightweight, fuel efficient and easy enough to drive around. "Scooter sales took off when the new range of scooters offered features, technology and mileage like the 110 cc commuter bikes," said Gupta. "But penetration levels in major urban markets are gradually going up so it's just a matter of time before marketers look to rural India for incremental growth."

Honda plans another bike in volume segment.

 Honda, the biggest Japanese two-wheeler brand in India, is keen on expanding its portfolio of entry motorcycles with a planned addition in the coming weeks even as former partner turned rival Hero MotoCorp moves to fortify its market.

Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India (HMSI), the country's third biggest two-wheeler producer, will add a new bike under the Dream series brand shortly which will be its third such product in that segment, sources said.

Sales under the Dream series (comprising Yuga and Neo) more than doubled last financial year helping HMSI to grow 36% to 3.6 million units. Honda's Dream series grew 116% to 5.65 lakh units compared to 2.61 lakh units sold in 2012-13.

The entry bike segment (upto 110cc) is a 6.8 million units a year market commanding a share of 65%. Though the segment grew just four% last year no manufacturer is ignoring it considering its size.

When asked if Honda would expand its product portfolio in the economy segment Y S Guleria, vice president (sale and marketing), HMSI said, "Keep your expectations high, we will explore more".

Entry bikes have a huge following in the rural markets where fuel efficiency influences purchasing decisions. These bikes are capable of delivering mileage of more than 60 kilometers per litre (kmpl) on an average going upto 85 kmpl.

Delhi-based Honda is thus increasing its focus on the entry level segment so much so that it has put the potential launch of a big engine premium concept bike on the back burner. The CX-01, a off and on road performance bike, which was unveiled at the Auto Expo was scheduled to go for 'fine tuning' before readying it for launch in 2015 or 2016.

The CX-01 is the first bike developed entirely by HMSI's own engineering division also based in India. However, HMSI has instead opted to put more focus on the Dream series for coming period and expand its reach in the rural areas which will host two-thirds of Honda's 1,000 new sales outlets planned this year.

Sensing trouble market leader Hero MotoCorp launched last month yet another variant of its top selling bike Splendor. Called the Splendor iSmart the bike gives more mileage with an 'intelligent' engine which switches off automatically during idling.

Hero presently commands a market share of 66% in the entry level segment with ten models under its fold. Bajaj Auto is the second biggest player with a share of 17% followed by HMSI with a share of 9% and TVS Motors with a share of 5%.

In March Honda's scooter Activa became India's biggest selling model in dethroning the Hero Splendor in the upto 110cc engine category.

One of the other reasons for the shift could be the tepid response HMSI has received for the CBR250, a 250cc performance bike. Last year it sold an average of 640 bikes a month compared to its earlier sales of more than 1,200 units a month

Cruising, not so smoothly - Suzuki Motorcycle India

Just a day after its erstwhile joint venture partner, TVS Motor launched a new motorcycle in Chennai and said its immediate focus will be on the motorcycle segment, Suzuki Motorcycle India (SMIL), a subsidiary of Suzuki Motor Corporation, Japan, chose the same city to unveil its new scooter.

The new product, Let’s, a 110 cc scooter, is targeted at the urban youth. The company hopes to sell around 10,000 Let’s scooters a month and is confident the new model will strengthen its presence together with its existing models, Swish and Access, in the Indian market.

“Suzuki is keen on providing value products for all Indian customers, where Swish and Access have been long-term favourites. Now Let’s will further strengthen our product presence in the category,” Atul Gupta, executive vice -president, SMIL said on Tuesday.

According to him, Let’s is a stylish scooter for the urban Indian youth, who are seeking trendy products that offer unmatched value. “Let’s is powered by SEP (Suzuki Eco Performance) engine technology that offers top class fuel efficiency without compromising power and performance,” he observed.

The company, which has priced Let’s at Rs 46,925 (ex-showroom Chennai), is hoping to sell around 10,000 units and will focus its attention on the urban people. Overall, the company plans to sell about five lakh units this financial year. This will include 3.7 lakh scooters and close to 1.5 lakh motorcycles. It had sold, 3.7 lakh units in the year 2013-14, comprising 2.7 lakh scooters and about one lakh motorcycles.

Mahindra puts veteran in charge of two wheelers

 His company may have lost market share in its India motorcycle business last fiscal, but Rajiv Bajaj is unfazed. “While it’s true that we have lost four percentage points in the domestic bike market, fiscal 2013-14 has been the best ever in terms of profit in the history of Bajaj Auto,” its Managing Director told Business Line. The company is scheduled to declare its results on May 15.

Foreign markets

“It’s perhaps important to bear in mind that we are a company which goes beyond just domestic market numbers. Ours is a global company whose motorcycles and three-wheelers are doing well in a host of countries,” Bajaj says.

For instance, Bajaj Auto’s market share for motorcycles in Nigeria (where the Boxer is the prime brand) has gone up in the last year from 34 to 44 per cent, while in Bangladesh it is up to 53 per cent (from 46 per cent). Likewise, in Sri Lanka, its market share has moved up from 74 to 82 per cent and in Uganda, from 81 to 88 per cent.

Similarly, the alliance with Kawasaki Motors has seen Bajaj Auto enhance its bike presence in Indonesia and the Philippines. Going forward, the duo will identify more opportunities in the ASEAN region, which includes Thailand, Vietnam, Taiwan and Malaysia. Kawasaki has been Bajaj Auto’s ally for over three decades now.

Likewise, the company will look at growing its global presence with KTM, the Austrian company in which it has a 48 per cent stake. Europe, the US, Japan and Australia are part of the road map for the future and it will be interesting to see if Latin America and Brazil, in particular, will be added to the list.

“While India is our largest market, it’s only one of our many global markets given that 40 per cent of our bikes and 60 per cent of our three-wheelers are now exported. So, we measure our performance on the basis of a global scorecard and not just India,” Bajaj says. During 2013-14, the company’s two and three-wheeler sales fell by nine per cent to 3.87 million units (4.23 million), while exports were up at 1.58 million units.

Holistic strategy

From Bajaj’s point of view, the global strategy will only work with the mindset of a specialist. This is perhaps why he constantly insists that there is no way his company will revisit the scooter space even if this product segment is growing the fastest in India.

By the end of the day, motorcycles not only form a larger chunk of the global two-wheeler pie but are a far more profitable business, too. And, finally, the spare parts business is yet another ‘immensely profitable’ stream. 

Outlook for FY15

Automobile volumes might not grow in double digits in FY15 even if a stable government comes to power after May 16. The sector typically grows at 1.5 times of the gross domestic product (GDP), which means vehicle sales will remain muted till economic growth picks up from the sub-five per cent levels. Two-wheeler sales are also expected to slow from June onwards, as the wedding season ends.

Two-wheeler makers reported double-digit volume growth for April, both on year-on-year (y-o-y) and month-on-month (m-o-m) basis. Hero MotoCorp’s volumes grew 14.4 per cent y-o-y and nine per cent m-o-m to 571,054 units. While Bajaj Auto reported a 3.7 per cent y-o-y decline in volumes to 331,529 units, on m-o-m basis, volumes were up nine per cent. TVS Motor’s volumes rose 15 per cent y-o-y but declined three per cent m-o-m at 190,683 units. Surjit Arora of Prabhudas Lilladher says two-wheeler volumes have spiked thanks to an extended marriage season and volumes might fall after the season ends. Arora expects a seven to eight per cent growth in FY15.

The passenger vehicle segment continues to be on a sticky wicket. The cut in excise duty and increased enquiries are not converting into sales. According to Karvy Stock Broking, in the four-wheeler segment, Mahindra & Mahindra’s auto volume declined for an eighth consecutive month, with a fall of 12.4 per cent y-o-y and 29.8 per cent m-o-m to 36,274 units. Tractor volumes fell 10.6 per cent y-o-y but grew 17.3 per cent m-o-m to 20,731 units in April 2014. Maruti Suzuki’s volumes dropped 11.4 per cent y-o-y and 24 per cent m-o-m to 86,232 units. Sales of commercial vehicles also continued fall sharply in April, both on m-o-m and y-o-y basis. Ashok Leyland’s volume fell 21 per cent y-o-y and 43 per cent m-o-m to 5,897 units in April, while Tata Motors saw a decline of 34 per cent y-o-y and 34 per cent m-o-m to 33,892 units.

The outlook would remain tepid for commercial vehicles in FY15. Any uptick in commercial vehicle sales can only happen in FY16. Analysts expect passenger car vehicles in FY15 to pick up in the second half, if excise duty cuts are extended beyond June. Also, companies looking at launching new models might see better volume growth than others. Prabhudas Lilladher’s Arora expects passenger vehicles to grow six-seven per cent in FY15, but most of the growth will be back-ended. Frost & Sullivan expects domestic automobile sales to grow 9.5 per cent in FY15, even though domestic sales of the passenger vehicle segment declined by six per cent, CV segment by 25.3 per cent, three-wheelers by 10.9 per cent in FY14

Honda launches Activa 125

 Honda, the biggest Japanese two-wheeler brand in India, is keen on expanding its portfolio of entry motorcycles with a planned addition in the coming weeks even as former partner turned rival Hero MotoCorp moves to fortify its market.

Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India (HMSI), the country's third biggest two-wheeler producer, will add a new bike under the Dream series brand shortly which will be its third such product in that segment, sources said.

Sales under the Dream series (comprising Yuga and Neo) more than doubled last financial year helping HMSI to grow 36% to 3.6 million units. Honda's Dream series grew 116% to 5.65 lakh units compared to 2.61 lakh units sold in 2012-13.

The entry bike segment (upto 110cc) is a 6.8 million units a year market commanding a share of 65%. Though the segment grew just four% last year no manufacturer is ignoring it considering its size.

When asked if Honda would expand its product portfolio in the economy segment Y S Guleria, vice president (sale and marketing), HMSI said, "Keep your expectations high, we will explore more".

Entry bikes have a huge following in the rural markets where fuel efficiency influences purchasing decisions. These bikes are capable of delivering mileage of more than 60 kilometers per litre (kmpl) on an average going upto 85 kmpl.

Delhi-based Honda is thus increasing its focus on the entry level segment so much so that it has put the potential launch of a big engine premium concept bike on the back burner. The CX-01, a off and on road performance bike, which was unveiled at the Auto Expo was scheduled to go for 'fine tuning' before readying it for launch in 2015 or 2016.

The CX-01 is the first bike developed entirely by HMSI's own engineering division also based in India. However, HMSI has instead opted to put more focus on the Dream series for coming period and expand its reach in the rural areas which will host two-thirds of Honda's 1,000 new sales outlets planned this year.

Sensing trouble market leader Hero MotoCorp launched last month yet another variant of its top selling bike Splendor. Called the Splendor iSmart the bike gives more mileage with an 'intelligent' engine which switches off automatically during idling.

Hero presently commands a market share of 66% in the entry level segment with ten models under its fold. Bajaj Auto is the second biggest player with a share of 17% followed by HMSI with a share of 9% and TVS Motors with a share of 5%.

In March Honda's scooter Activa became India's biggest selling model in dethroning the Hero Splendor in the upto 110cc engine category.

One of the other reasons for the shift could be the tepid response HMSI has received for the CBR250, a 250cc performance bike. Last year it sold an average of 640 bikes a month compared to its earlier sales of more than 1,200 units a month

TVS motor ups ante with Star City+

TVS Motor Company, on Monday, launched its all-new motorcycle StaR City+ at an aggressive price of Rs.44,000 (ex-showroom, New Delhi) with a promise of very high mileage. The new launch is aimed at beefing up its presence in the mileage-conscious commuter segment.

StaR City+, which will sport a new 110cc Eco Thrust engine and incorporate many first-time features, promises a fuel economy of 86 kmpl (kilo metre per litre), among the highest for commuter segment bikes.

The new bike intends to attract people in the age group of 25-35 years in urban and semi-urban locations, where motorcycles with on-road mileage of over 60 kmpl are preferred.

“We have been largely absent in the commuter segment except in the low-end of the category. We need to be a big player. StaR City+ is the first of the two launches we have planned. In the next four months, our all-new Victor will be launched, and that will complete our offerings in the commuter segment,” Venu Srinivasan, Chairman & Managing Director, TVS Motor Company, said at the launch.

With StaR City+, the company intends to increase the sales from 25,000-30,000 units to about 50,000 units a month in six month’s time. Total industry volume in commuter segment is estimated at about 595,000 units a month.

Mr. Srinivasan also said the company would have regular and consistent launch of new models. There would be at least one new launch every quarter going forward. Its upcoming new launches for the current fiscal will be Zest (110cc scooter), Victor (110cc bike) and Apache.

Updating on its tie-up with BMW for sub-500cc bikes, he said the first bike from the joint venture would be ready by the second-half of 2015-16. “It's a brand new platform, designed from the scratch. BMW has been working on to ensure highest quality in the bikes,” he added.

About Rs.150 crore is expected to be invested in the venture, which was announced jointly by the two companies in April 2013 to design and sell bikes in 200-500cc category. 

Yamaha Motor India celebrates Women’s Day

Yamaha Motor India Sales Pvt. Ltd. celebrated International Women’s day in association with ‘Aarohan’, an NGO working for women empowerment, felicitating the women from the lesser privileged sections of the society. Also, on this occasion the company invited Femina Miss Delhi, Ms.Koyal Rana and talked about its association with the coveted FBB Femina Miss India 2014in an endeavour to empower and encourage women power and talent.

Yamaha Motor India Sales Pvt. Ltd tied up with Aarohan, who had invited eminent women to deliver lectures on legal awareness, medical care, education etc. in order to enlighten the women audience present at the event. On this occasion,Femina Miss Delhi, Ms. Koyal Rana shared her experience in order to boost the morale of the women participants at the event. Yamaha also awarded the NGO with a gift cheque of worth Rs.1,00,000.


Trailing Behind

We are downgrading Hero (target price R1,730), Bajaj (TP R1,670) and TVS (TP R70) to Sell. Our ratings reflect the concern that Honda’s sustained market share gains will impact the margins of the Indian two-wheeler companies. Honda has gained 890 bps (basis points) market share over the last 24 months, aided by an aggressive launch pipeline and stronger demand for scooters. Hero, Bajaj and TVS have been unsuccessfully trying to staunch their market share losses through more frequent product launches as well as higher brand spends. We believe such competitive activity will continue, resulting in lower margins due to loss of pricing power and higher selling costs.

Hero: Our negative stance on Hero stems from our concerns about market share losses, a deterioration in pricing power and higher marketing costs. We also highlight the market risk for Hero, as it will now be developing products on its own. We also believe that the cost reduction efforts of the management will not yield significant gains and these will be competed away in the market. Investors are positive on Hero on FY15e as the fixed royalty payable to Honda would end by then, leading to a one-time gain. However, we believe that profit growth from FY16e would taper to lower levels.

Bajaj: We downgrade Bajaj to Sell as we believe that current valuations (15.5xFY15e EPS) do not factor in the sustained market share losses in the domestic market as well as the uncertainties emanating in its exports. Bajaj’s margins have remained higher than peers’, due to richer product mix and currency benefits on its exports. However, we expect Honda’s aggression to hurt Bajaj’s margins going forward. While exports (40% of revenues) have provided a cushion, we highlight that near-term growth may remain below trend level. We understand that demand in Bajaj’s major export destinations (Africa, South Asia, Latin America) continue to be affected by changes in regulations and an increase in import barriers.

TVS: TVS is also likely to be affected by the increase in competitive intensity which would constrain its margin expansion efforts. The pressure could be offset to an extent by its recent product launches and a revival in its higher margin three-wheeler business. However, TVS’s current valuations at 15.7xFY15e EPS (adjusting for Indonesian business) are at a premium to Hero and Bajaj. We believe this is unsustainable as the profitability gap with peers continues to be significantly high.

Our revised forecasts and Tps are below consensus: Our target prices for Hero and Bajaj are 20% below consensus and imply valuations at 13.5x FY15e EPS (lower than the long-term average). TVS’s current valuation is at a premium to Hero and Bajaj, which is untenable. On Hero, consensus is building in margin expansion to factor in the company’s cost reduction efforts. However, we do not see material headroom in Hero’s current cost structure and believe that a large portion of the savings will be competed away. Bajaj’s margins have been cushioned by the currency benefit on exports which should taper in the next few quarters. In the medium term, margins for Hero and Bajaj will reflect the impact of competition and this will act as a key catalyst for underperformance.

High competition during FY04-07 significantly impacted margins: 2W (two-wheeler) margins contracted by 250-500bps during FY04-07 as Hero and Bajaj were competing aggressively to gain leadership in motorcycles. Currently, we have seven players who continue to compete for market share. Moreover, Honda is competing with all companies in their respective niches.

We forecast 2W industry volumes to grow at a CAGR (FY14-16e) of 11%: We expect the growth to be driven by scooters (19% per annum) even as motorcycles continue to lag (8% p.a.). Honda’s dominance of the scooter segment and its gains in motorcycles should result in market share increasing from 23.7% in FY14e to 26.8% in FY16e. Hero and Bajaj would lose share by 100-170 bps.

Honda driving market share through models and distribution: Over the last two years, Honda has introduced motorcycle models in segments in which it wasn’t present. It has nearly doubled its distribution from 1,500 outlets in FY12 to a projected 2,500 by end-FY14. This has been supported by an increase in capacity from 2.2m (FY12) to 4.6m currently, and this will further expand to 5.8m by FY16. As a result, Honda’s volume growth of 32% p.a. over FY12-14e has significantly surpassed industry growth of 5% p.a. Hero/Bajaj/TVS have grown at 0%/-10%/-4% during the same period. 

Car, bikes off the mark, trucks won't budge.

Car sales in February rose for the first time in four months on the back of successful recent launches and excise duty cuts, but the overall auto sector remained a mixed bag with utility vehicle and commercial vehicle (CV) sales in the red.

Vikram Kirloskar, president of the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (Siam) and vice-chairman of Toyota Kirloskar Motors, said that improving car and two-wheeler sales should act as a catalyst for growth in other sectors as well. “We have seen some improvements in inquiry levels after excise duty cuts in the interim Budget last month and so we expect strong sales in March and April on the passenger vehicle (PV) side. We hope it is an indicator of better times ahead.”

He added, “But CVs are on a tough wicket and will not improve unless we see increased goods movement. Many projects are being cleared right now and there have been small improvements in GDP, so it should take about 5-6 months for CV volumes to pick up”.

In February, passenger car sales posted a modest rise of 1.39% (to1.6 lakh units) while utility vehicle sales fell 9% (to 43,507 units), dragging the overall passenger vehicle segment (including cars, utility vehicles and vans) growth down by 3.9% (to 2.17 lakh units). Maruti Suzuki, which has an over 40% share of the PV segment, posted an almost 2% rise in volumes on the back of strong demand for its Celerio small car. Rival Hyundai saw flat sales while M&M and Tata Motors recorded 20% and 33% lower volumes, respectively.

“Car sales are up in the month, but we can't say it is the beginning of a trend just yet. Excise duties are expected to go back to previous levels from July unless the new government continues the incentive, but we hope sales will continue to maintain pace nevertheless,” Vishnu Mathur, director-general of Siam, said.

Two-wheeler volumes in the month were up almost 10%, boosted by a 28% jump in scooter sales at (3.11 lakh units) though bike sales only rose 5.4% (at 8.43 lakh units). Hero MotoCorp recorded just over 1% growth while rival Honda saw a 46% jump in volumes. Bajaj posted a decline of 12.5% in sales while TVS saw 3.35% growth.

CV sales in the month fell a sharp 30%, dragged down by 24% lower sales of medium and heavy CVs (to 16,372 units) and 32.5% fall in light CV demand (to 31,610 units). Market leader Tata Motors saw a 42% drop in CV sales while M&M recorded 4% growth. Ashok Leyland saw volumes drop 28%.

“It seems that government incentives have had some effect on passenger car sales, albeit a rather small effect so far. Commercial vehicle numbers, on the other hand, indicate that the urgent need to fix the basics of India's economic model has not abated. This will be the key task for the incoming government, and decisive action on the part of the new government will lead to an improved situation over the next 12-18 months,” said Dr Wilfried Aulbur, managing partner at Roland Berger Strategy Consultants.

Hero launches new bike Splendor iSmart at Rs 47,250

The i3S technology automatically shuts the engine when idling and turns it on when needed by pressing the clutch, giving more mileage in congested cities
The country's largest two-wheeler maker Hero MotoCorp today launched its all-new Splendor iSmart bike, equipped with stop-and-start i3S technology, priced at Rs 47,250 (ex-showroom Delhi).

The Splendor iSmart, which was showcased at the recently held Auto Expo, aims at further consolidating Hero MotoCorp's leadership position in the 100cc segment, the company said in a statement.

The i3S technology automatically shuts the engine when idling and turns it on when needed by pressing the clutch, giving more mileage in congested cities.

The Splendor iSmart is powered by a 100-cc air-cooled, 4 stroke single cylinder engine.

Hero MotoCorp Senior Vice President (Marketing & Sales) Anil Dua said: "We have applied for a patent for this technology which may be later extended to several other models."

At the recent Auto Expo, Hero MotoCorp had showcased new platforms, including the 150cc diesel two-wheeler RNT, electric motorcycle SimplEcity, 'iON' and the 620cc Hastur.

It also unveiled the new 250cc sports bike HX 250R and hybrid scooter Leap along with new scooters such as the 150cc Zir in two variants, 125cc Dare and the 110cc scooter Dash.

"We have been receiving encouraging customer queries on launch schedules of the various models. We plan to roll out four other models - the newer versions of Pleasure, Xtreme, Karizma and ZMR - later this month," Dua added.

Hero MotoCorp also said it has forayed into Turkey in partnership with Asya Makina (Asya Dis ticaretvemakina san ltd sti), a part of the diversified Soysal Group. The company has started its operations in the country with as many as 50 outlets.

LML to launch 5 new scooters over next year

Back in the 1980s, LML Vespa was the face of the upwardly mobile in the country and boasted of long waiting periods that would run into months. A decade-and-a-half later and now without the backing of Vespa, LML is trying to make a comeback.

Within the next 12 months, the company will launch five scooters targeting men and it is banking on the classic design of the LML Vespa. Having exported the scooters to Europe in good numbers since 2007, the firm, which brought down its workforce from 7,500 to just 750 to stay afloat, is now confident of making a comeback in the Indian market.

"We want to bring the real scooter for men back into the market. Companies have launched scooters centred around men in the recent past but they are basically women's scooters with cosmetic changes," said PS Choudhary, head of sales and marketing, LML Ltd.

At present, Honda is the market leader followed by Hero MotoCorp, Yamaha and Suzuki. With its torrid past when a labour strike and poor financial management saw the firm slide into the red 10 years ago, LML does not want to compete with them and has set realistic targets.

"Our research suggests a significant portion of scooter buyers are male and 70% of them use it individually. They buy the scooters for the convenience and do not have too many options," Choudhary added. "It's a big gap, we think with our lineage can fill. Our scooter is not in competition with the ‘male' scooters from Yamaha, Suzuki or Hero."

The comeback may be a little too late and nobody can bet LML will ever retain its position as the second-largest scooter maker but a successful turnaround would be nothing short of a fairytale.